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Probabilistic Reasoning Videos 13 videos
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Description:
During a power outage, Finn realizes that his flashlight needs two new AAA batteries. Finn takes two batteries from a drawer containing an assorted selection of 30 batteries. If 30% of these batteries are AAA, what is the probability that both batteries Finn selects will be AAA?
- Data Analysis, Statistics, and Probability / Probabilistic Reasoning
- Data Analysis, Statistics, and Probability / Probabilistic Reasoning
- TSI Math / Data Analysis, Statistics, and Probability
- Test Prep / TSI
- TSI Mathematics / Data Analysis, Statistics, and Probability
- TSI / TSI Math
- TSI / TSI Mathematics
- Test Prep / TSI
Transcript
- 00:03
Our size matters during a power outage phaen realizes that
- 00:07
his flashlight needs to new triple a batteries Finn takes
- 00:11
two batteries from a drawer containing an assorted selection of
- 00:14
thirty batteries If thirty percent of these batteries are triple
- 00:17
a what is the probability that both batteries finn selects
Full Transcript
- 00:21
will in fact be triple a Well isn't this problem
- 00:27
absolutely delightful Any probability can be found by dividing the
- 00:33
number of desired outcomes by the total number of outcomes
- 00:36
possible right So that's in the numerator and that's the
- 00:39
denominator right there are personal desired outcome would be a
- 00:41
game of flashlight tag but let's figure out if we
- 00:43
can get this thing working First start with the first
- 00:45
battery that finn takes out of the drawer since the
- 00:47
problem tells us that thirty percent of those thirty batteries
- 00:50
are triple a Well we can calculate that there's a
- 00:52
thirty percent chance that the first battery finn picks will
- 00:55
be right Like nine out of thirty of those batteries
- 00:58
being chosen Our trip lays right well once he picks
- 01:01
his first battery Then there are twenty nine batteries to
- 01:04
pick from but only eight of those will be right
- 01:07
since he's already successfully drawn one of the correct batteries
- 01:10
right these air too dependent events because the probability of
- 01:13
picking one triple a battery on a draw changes after
- 01:17
the first time finn goes into the drawer to find
- 01:19
the probability that both batteries or triple a while we
- 01:21
just apply the formula for calculating The probability of two
- 01:24
deep and an events pva times p of b one
- 01:27
say has occurred equals p of a and b And
- 01:30
what does all that mean while we get nine over
- 01:32
thirty times eight over twenty nine at seventy two over
- 01:35
a lot and well bottom line is the fraction there
- 01:38
is big and it's about point Oh eight to eight
- 01:41
if you have a handy dandy calculator So since our
- 01:43
answers were given in percentages we've have to convert that
- 01:45
decimal into a percentage by multiplying it by a hundred
- 01:48
percent And voila the correct answer is an eight point
- 01:51
two eight percent Those don't look like great odds Looks
- 01:54
like poor finn will be groping around in the dark
- 01:56
for quite some time Let's Hope they're not The spiders 00:01:59.661 --> [endTime] look been there
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