Announcement Effect

  

Categories: Econ, Investing, Tax

The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets every six weeks or so, and after each meeting, they announce whether or not the key interest rate will go up. Of course, this will be big news for Wall St. investors (key interest rates impact how much everyone has to pay to borrow money, so the announcement both affects how much companies are paying to get loans and the overall economy in general...so, yeah, it's a big deal).

The trading on Fed announcement day is an example of the announcement effect, any time trading is likely to pick up due to an important pre-planned revelation. Other big announcements that might affect trading could be the unemployment rate, consumer confidence, Gross Domestic Product, inflation, or any other change to monetary policy.

Interest rate changes can also have an announcement effect on foreign exchange markets as an increase could raise the exchange rates. So you don’t want to miss a “Fed day” or any other big federal news. The announcement moves the markets like it's eating a jar of prunes.

Related or Semi-related Video

Finance: What is the Federal Open Market...15 Views

00:00

finance a la shmoop what is the Federal Open Market Committee... FOMC! come say it

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with me FOMC yeah that's the noise of meatball makes when it hits the floor it [Meatball lands on the floor]

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also happens to be the acronym for the Federal Open Market Committee and part

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of its purpose in life is to manage financial outcomes through monetary

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policy all right well the Federal Reserve pulls three levers of monetary [3 Levers appear]

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policy discount rates open market operations and bank reserve requirements

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those are the big three the big three monetary policies used to try and [Monetary policies appear]

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control the economy well the font is responsible for the open market

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operations part of that equation it tries to fight the twin evils of [Person pulls open market lever]

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unemployment and inflation and among other things if unemployment is high

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well in general the FOMC will seek to increase the supply of money by holding

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back on sales of government paper like t-bills bonds notes and all that good

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stuff leaving more cash sloshing around in the [Dollar bills appear]

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marketplace and hopefully encouraging the cost of renting money or interest

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rates to decline like encouraging people to borrow because rates are cheap well

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when people can borrow more cheaply yes they're incentivized to spend more at [Person picks up stack of cash]

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the mall on earrings and rings for other places well it works in the opposite

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direction as well with the FOMC fearing inflation while they'll issue

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lots of government paper sucking out the excess cash that was previously in the [Money supply meter declines]

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marketplace and likely causing interest rates to rise right so cash will be less

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available and people want more to rent their precious dollars as interest got

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it okay well the key issue remains that the FOMC is making money more expensive

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when it does that when an issues paper sucking cash out of the system it's hard

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concept for most people including me to understand here

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well the FOMC called eight secret very dan Brown like meetings a year to look [Months of year appear on calendar]

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through reams of data and decide what policy should be note that they're

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applying monetary policy here to do their bidding not fiscal policy the gist

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is that the committee is the one sitting atop monetary policy in the US and it's

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the committee who makes the decisions on the big three dials they can turn one [Committee standing by 3 dials]

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two and three they can sift through data on the economy jobs inflation bang

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fear surveys etc and then make decisions about what to do or you know what not to

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do I remember that Soup Nazi from Seinfeld no bonds for you [Nazi holding a bond]

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